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Effective Advertising Workshops Newsletter

   Volume  II  Issue 12
In This Issue
It's a balancing act
What to do?
10 Reasons
Recession 'musts'
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December/2008
Greetings!

   Thanks to the National Bureau of Economic Research, we have now been officially informed that we are in a "recession".
   We have conducted four of our workshops since the stock market tumbled the first time to the tune of 777 points. We have heard "economic slowdown", and "troubled economy" and "crisis". We even noticed some blog suggestions: Financial brouhaha; and Financial nap time; and Pecuniary discomfort". One pundit stated, "Right now, I can't think of anything that doesn't start with an expletive".
   In Lexington, and Central Nebraska, and Evansville, and Lafayette, LA (just two weeks ago), we didn't hear weeping and wailing and gnashing of teeth. We heard concern; we heard "how will this effect me and my business? And, what can I do to maintain my share?

Here's one suggestion from Roy H. Williams:

It's a balancing act

 
The coming year will be fun, adventure - filled and profitable for people who have their wits about them.tightrope walker

A number of small business owners are positioning themselves to overtake their much larger rivals.

Will one of those companies be yours?

Not many years ago, General Motors and Circuit City were the dominant players in their categories. Today they are both on their knees, having made the same mistakes:
1.      They took their fingers off the pulse of the customer.
When you believe your marketing pipeline will allow you to dictate what the customer will buy, you're in danger of being leapfrogged. In 1960, General Motors sold nearly 60 percent of all new cars. Today, even though Chevrolet maintains 4,200 dealerships, Toyota sells more cars than all 5 GM brands combined through just 1,400 locations. LESSON: Having the right product is more important than heritage and convenience.
 
2.      They quit taking risks.
When companies achieve success, they usually quit innovating and become guardians of the status quo. But yesterday's perfect processes are obsolete tomorrow. Vinyl records were replaced by 8-track tapes. 8-tracks were replaced by cassettes. Cassettes were replaced by CDs. And now CDs are being replaced by MP3 players. The same is happening with business practices. LESSON: Success, like failure, is a temporary condition. Never assume you've arrived.


The leaders are going into hunker-down mode. They're cutting back their advertising, assuming that everyone else will cut back as well.

When a leapfrogger sees a leader's brake lights, he hits the accelerator. Are you beginning to see what I meant when I said, "fun, adventure - filled and profitable?"
HERE ARE THE TRENDS TO WATCH IN 2009:
 
1.      Frivolous purchases are being delayed.
We're wearing our clothes longer and keeping the cars we've got. We'll buy what we need, but only after asking whether we really need it.
2.      We're buying fewer things but better things.
More attention is being paid to quality. Only the poorest are choosing by price alone. Information is king. Details are power. This is good news for the makers of better products.
3.      "Sustainable" is a concept that will grow in power for at least 10 years.
The lifestyle of the 80's and 90's was "upwardly mobile" and its leaders were marked by "conspicuous consumption." But the chosen lifestyle of the next generation will be "sustainable", meaning that we'll strive to live within our means and embrace practices that are environmentally responsible. - Roy H. Williams, The Wizard of Ads
 

What to do? What to do?

 
NEWSPAPER CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO DECLINE RAPIDLY.
 
The long decline of newspaper circulation over the years continues to accelerate, with sales in the spring and summer falling almost 5% from the previous year, figures released yesterday show, deepening the financial strain on the industry. The drop occurred nearly across the board during the six months that ended September 30; weekday circulation for the largest metropolitan dailies fell anywhere from 1.9% for The Washington Post, to 13.6% for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, compared with the period a year earlier. The figures, released by the Audit Bureau of Circulations based on reports filed by the individual papers, show that circulation at The Houston Chronicle, The Boston Globe, The Star-Ledger of Newark, The Philadelphia Inquirer, The Orange County Register, and The Detroit News fell 10% or more(excerpt from The New York Times)
 
The Tribune Company (owners of the Chicago Tribune and the Los Angeles Times, (among others) filed for bankruptcy two weeks ago. Last week, the Detroit Free Press, the 20th largest newspaper in the United States, announced that it would print a full press run only three days of the week, with digital editions the rest of the week. Your local newspaper isn't far behind.
The newspaper industry is reeling. From a local standpoint, it doesn't make sense to waste your ad dollars in a diminishing media, that doesn't come close to reaching your market.
The yellow pages, as a directory has seen its usage drop 20% in just the last five years, solely due to the internet. The internet has become the "directory" of choice. No wonder your ads in the yellow pages don't work any more.
Radio....where have you gone? Twenty million satellite users aren't tuned into their favorite local stations any more, and 100 million (mostly young people) have Ipods and couldn't tell you a DJ from a radio station, period. The music being played all over the country is primarily on MP3 players, not on radio stations. Millions of listeners have deserted their local radio stations, never to return.
Television remains the foundation of consumer media usage. Television viewing is at record levels: the average American household spends 8:14 hours and minutes using TV every day....and that covers all demos: men 4:34 (hours and minutes); women 5:14; Teens 3:20; and children 3:24. (Source Neilsen Media Research, NTI Annual Averages 2007).
And, compared to newspaper, radio, magazine, and internet - television is way in front with 53.5% of the media hours spent on a daily basis.
 
There is opportunity out there:
 
BIA Advisory Services says, "The television industry needs to focus more on compelling cross-platform advertising opportunities in order to significantly raise their revenues in the coming years," said Mark R. Fratrik, Vice-President, BIA Advisory Services. "With the steady improvement of their online and mobile presence they now need to demonstrate to their advertisers the significant value proposition they can offer through a bundled advertising package."
 

Here are 10 reasons to stay the ad spending course

 
Ten Reasons to Stay the Ad Spending Course:
 

1.   You need to keep your customers and prospects informed of your business. Advertising is distributed information and a fundamental part of the business process.
2.   No better time to increase top-of-the-mind awareness as less aggressive advertisers leave the door open to consumer brand switching.
3.   Maintain market share. It is less expensive than trying to rebuild it later.
4.   Maintain share of voice.
·         If your competition trims ad budget you have an opportunity to attract competitor's customers.
·         If you trim and your competitor holds you risk becoming invisible in the marketplace.
5.   Studies show that increased spending in a slow economy leads to long-term profitability.
6.   Emotions will change often in the months ahead. Get close to your customers. Help restore consumer confidence.
·         Set new communication objectives
·         Confidence-building messages can help motivate consumers, and stimulate the economy.
7.   You can grow your TV budget by lowering operational costs. Use ePort and gain eBusiness efficiencies.
8.   Make new friends. Seek co-op partners from existing business relationships and inquire about new partnerships.
·         AEs can create shared advertising opportunities.
9.   You will find media bargains.
·         Take advantage of lower priced programs/dayparts.
·         Cut weight levels if necessary, but maintain or add weeks...keep your message out there.
·         Purchase opportunistically, scoop up "previously-owned" sponsorships.
·         Take advantage of new station platforms - digital channels, websites, mobile.
10.       The economy will improve. It always does. You will be positioned as a market leader to take advantage of the expansion.
 

Realism and Optimism are recession 'musts'

 We don't always agree with Al Neuharth, Founder of USA Today, but his recent editorial is right on:
 

 You're getting all kinds of advice on how to survive this recession. Some is sound. Some is silly.
 
It's been my good fortune to have lived through 15 recessions and one depression in my 84 years. Based on those experiences, I suggest you not only will survive but ultimately thrive if you practice the proper mix of these two recession "musts".

                               Realism
                               Optimism

   Reality is that we've been in recession since last December, even though it took the National Bureau of Economic Research a year to figure it out. That reality means that if you haven't already done so, you should tighten your belt as much as necessary.
 
   Optimism means you must understand that if you handle the problem properly, you can ride high on the wave of recovery and prosperity that follows every recession.
  
   Tightening your belt does not mean putting money under the mattress. It means spending only what is necessary on necessities and funneling what you can into the future. The sooner the better.
 
   That means investing now in everything worthwhile you can afford. New ideas of your own. New products. The best time to market anything new is during a recession.
 
   We planned and launched USA TODAY during the 16-month recession of 1981-82. Because it was a popular new product, it rode the recovery in the late '80's to become the nation's No. 1 newspaper.
 
   During the current recession, we opened the new NEWSEUM on Pennsylvania Avenue in Washington, D.C. Because it is a popular new product, it will ride the recovery to become the No. 1  must-see attraction in the nation's capital.
 
   If you invest in the future in time of recession, the best of times are ahead of you. - Al Neuharth, USA Today Founder
We can help you in 2009. We will be travelling almost every week, bringing our Effective Advertising Workshops to West Palm Beach, South Texas, Peoria/Bloomington; Louisville, Huntsville, Omaha, Knoxville, and Lafayette...and that's just this winter and spring.
Reach your customer, reach them frequently and reach them on a consistent basis and you can be through this "mess" with barely a scar to show for it.
 
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year. We hope to see you in 2009!
 
Sincerely,
 

Larry Kirby
Effective Advertising Workshops
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